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Research / thesis28 June 2026

What decades of maize yield data tell us about the next drought

Natasha Mulenga · Researcher

Pulled Agririgo's open production and drought datasets going back to 2000 to look at yield volatility around El Nino years. The pattern is stark: without earlier warning and faster on-the-ground response, Zambia keeps re-learning the same lesson every major dry cycle. This is why open agricultural data and climate-resilient agriculture research need to sit in the same place, not scattered across a dozen PDFs.

4.7 average · 3 ratings

2 comments

Thandiwe Mwansa Farmer

The rainfall/yield correlation lines up with what we log at the farm level.

Amara Desta Researcher

Appreciate the honesty about confidence levels, most agri-AI tools skip this entirely.